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Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Minaur vs Nadal analysis and find out who is favored!
Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Minaur has won 55.97% of points on his second serve, while Nadal has won 53.74%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Minaur, in recent form, has won 55.09% of his opponent's second serve points, while Nadal has won 53.29%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.41% and 31.58% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Minaur has saved 59.79% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nadal has saved 55.1% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Minaur has won 68.29% of matches played (W/L 56/ 26), with Nadal winning 63.64% (W/L 7/ 4) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 44/ 22), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 55% (W/L 61/ 50). Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 506/ 56), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38).
- Player level: In the last year, Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 71.05% of matches (W/L 27/ 11), where as Nadal has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 4/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Minaur has played against opponents with an average rank of 86.07 while Nadal has played against players with an average rank of 104.36.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Minaur has won 70% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nadal has won 67% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Minaur has converted 42.05% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nadal has converted 43.75% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Minaur 0 - 0 Nadal
N/A
Rank
High
25
Age
R
Plays
0
Total0
0
Hard0
0
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
N/A
Rank
High
37
Age
L
Plays
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
Form
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
0% (0-0)
Career Total W/L
0% (0-0)
0% (0-0)
YTD W/L
0% (0-0)
$0
Career Prize Money
$0
0
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
No H2H Matches Available
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Alex De Minaur | Rafael Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 71% (25/10) | 64% (7/4) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 67% (57/28) | 60% (15/10) |
| Games Win/Loss | 56% (438/340) | 56% (131/104) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 75% (15/5) | 67% (2/1) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 60% (6/4) | 63% (5/3) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 80% (4/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.38 | 0.19 |
| Aces Total | 145 | 22 |
| DFs per game | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| DFs Total | 69 | 19 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:45:39 | 2:1:36 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 85.4 | 104.36 |
| 1st Serve % | 55% (1243/2254) | 68% (490/717) |
| 1st Serve W% | 72% (893/1243) | 70% (342/490) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 56% (567/1011) | 54% (122/227) |
| BPs Won% Total | 44% (119/271) | 44% (35/80) |
| Return Pts W% | 42% (1072/2528) | 40% (298/745) |
| Slam W/L | 75% (3/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Masters W/L | 64% (9/5) | 67% (4/2) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 76% (13/4) | 60% (3/2) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 70% (21/30) | 64% (7/11) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 80% (4/5) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 50% (4/8) | 33% (1/3) |
| Deciding Set W% | 56% (5/9) | 67% (2/3) |
| 1st set W, W | 95% (21/20) | 86% (7/6) |
| 1st set W, L | 5% (21/1) | 14% (7/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 36% (14/5) | 25% (4/1) |
Alex De Minaur Recent Matches Played
Before:
No Past Matches Available
Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats 
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Rafael Nadal
54%
(
30 of
56)
1st Serve %
72%
(
38 of
53)
9
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
83%
(
25 of
30)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
20 of
38)
62%
(
16 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
8 of
15)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
7)
27%
(
15 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
25 of
53)
66
Total Points Won
43
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Zizou Bergs
62%
(
58 of
93)
1st Serve %
56%
(
44 of
78)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
4
67%
(
39 of
58)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
30 of
44)
63%
(
22 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
62%
(
21 of
34)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
22%
(
2 of
9)
34%
(
32 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
27 of
78)
88
Total Points Won
83
|
4-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Rafael Nadal
71%
(
46 of
65)
1st Serve %
61%
(
44 of
72)
7
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
89%
(
41 of
46)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
30 of
44)
37%
(
7 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
26%
(
17 of
65)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
28 of
72)
76
Total Points Won
61
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pedro Cachin
78%
(
59 of
76)
1st Serve %
61%
(
74 of
122)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
64%
(
38 of
59)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
39 of
74)
35%
(
6 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
18 of
48)
50%
(
9 of
18)
Break Points Won
67%
(
4 of
6)
42%
(
32 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
65 of
122)
109
Total Points Won
89
|
6-1 6-7(5) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73%
(
45 of
62)
1st Serve %
66%
(
44 of
67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71%
(
32 of
45)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
29 of
44)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
12 of
23)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
34%
(
21 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
26 of
67)
67
Total Points Won
62
|
7-6(6) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Darwin Blanch
62%
(
24 of
39)
1st Serve %
69%
(
27 of
39)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
79%
(
19 of
24)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
14 of
27)
73%
(
11 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
17%
(
2 of
12)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
23%
(
9 of
39)
Rtn Points Won
59%
(
23 of
39)
53
Total Points Won
25
|
6-1 6-0 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52%
(
28 of
54)
1st Serve %
68%
(
50 of
73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75%
(
21 of
28)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
29 of
50)
65%
(
17 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
8 of
23)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
30%
(
16 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
36 of
73)
74
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve %
49%
(
27 of
55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78%
(
25 of
32)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
19 of
27)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
31%
(
15 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
26 of
55)
60
Total Points Won
44
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61%
(
67 of
109)
1st Serve %
73%
(
79 of
108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76%
(
51 of
67)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
58 of
79)
48%
(
20 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
35%
(
38 of
109)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
37 of
108)
108
Total Points Won
109
|
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65%
(
30 of
46)
1st Serve %
76%
(
35 of
46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80%
(
24 of
30)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
20 of
35)
63%
(
10 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
2 of
11)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
26%
(
12 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
24 of
46)
58
Total Points Won
34
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
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